
TOL AI Price Prediction
Track TOL's AI-powered predictions, market trends, and investment insights.
You don't hold TOL in your mock portfolio yet.
Track TOL's AI-powered predictions, market trends, and investment insights.
You don't hold TOL in your mock portfolio yet.
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What Changed, Why Now, and Risk Flags — available on the Investor plan and above
Get StartedWith EPS of 13.15 and a PE ratio of 10.23, Toll Brothers appears solidly profitable and relatively inexpensive versus typical market multiples. The earnings power implied by EPS supports the current share price, and the low PE suggests either cyclical concerns or undervaluation. In the absence of contrary data on margins or revenue declines, the profitability profile looks supportive for the equity story.
The stock at $134.51 is trading below its 200-day moving average of $139.91 after an 8.3% decline over the last month, signaling near-term technical weakness. Trading below the 200-day average often reflects a loss of intermediate momentum and can act as resistance. However, given the still-strong earnings backdrop and lack of extreme valuation, the technical picture looks more like a consolidation or pullback than a clear breakdown.
Alternative data points are broadly constructive: job openings are up 16.2% month over month, indicating management is investing in growth and capacity. Web traffic near 1 million visitors per month and steadily rising social media followings suggest stable to improving brand engagement and demand interest. These signals collectively point to an expansionary posture rather than retrenchment.
Fundamentals and alternative data lean constructive, but the recent price decline and position below the 200-day moving average temper the outlook to neutral in the near term. Profitability and valuation look supportive, and hiring plus engagement metrics point to a company still in growth mode. The stock may be in a consolidation phase where execution and macro housing conditions will determine whether it resumes an upward trend.
Our AI Score rates companies on a scale from 0 to 10, based on alternative data points such as web traffic, app downloads, and job postings — combined with financial health indicators and technical signals.
Toll Brothers (TOL) is trading at $138.58 on the NYSE, edging up 0.3% on the day with a market capitalization of $13.1 billion. Volume sits at 723,157 shares, reflecting measured but steady institutional participation. As one of the leading luxury homebuilders in the United States, TOL operates across both traditional single-family communities and urban condominium developments under its City Living brand. The company also manages golf courses, land development, and apartment rentals, giving it a diversified revenue base within the broader residential construction sector.
TrendEdge's AI model assigns TOL a score of 6 out of 10 — a neutral-to-slightly-positive reading that reflects balanced but not compelling momentum signals. A score at this level typically indicates the stock is not exhibiting strong trend confirmation in either direction, with mixed technical and fundamental inputs. For a $13.1 billion homebuilder, the absence of pronounced social sentiment data — Reddit mentions stand at just 2 over the past seven days with no measurable positive or negative skew — suggests limited retail speculation and a primarily institutionally driven price action environment.
Looking ahead into 2026, the key catalysts for TOL center on U.S. housing demand, mortgage rate trajectory, and luxury buyer confidence. As a premium-segment builder, Toll Brothers is more insulated from entry-level affordability pressures but remains sensitive to interest rate shifts that affect high-net-worth buyer financing decisions. Investors should monitor new community openings, order backlog trends, and any margin compression from labor or materials costs. A sustained move in the AI score above 7 would signal strengthening momentum worth tracking.
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TrendEdge provides tools and data for research and educational purposes only and does not provide investment advice or personal recommendations.
Web Traffic
1,194,434
Twitter Followers
18,537
Instagram Followers
348,580
YouTube Subscribers
72,100
LinkedIn Followers
200,482
Job Postings
167
LinkedIn Employees
5,376
News Mentions
1
Key Metrics